Usa 2020, even if Trump is not re-elected he could come out the winner: I'll explain why
A few days before the US presidential election, Bloomberg publishes an article on the dangers Donald Trump faces if he is not re-elected. The analysis is correct, the American president has a series of trials and accusations that have been "frozen" thanks to his political position.
Once he returned to being a normal citizen, however, the machinery of justice would restart, at which point without a presidential allowance Donald Trump could even end up behind bars since the accusations are many: from fraud to obstruction of justice. Of course this will not happen, even if Joe Biden hates his rival: Trump belongs to the long list of former presidents of the country and arresting him would be an affront to the position he held.
The New York Times, which denounced Trump's tax evasion, agrees with his colleagues at Bloomberg: Trump will do anything to win and even if he loses he will refuse to accept the results of the ballot box and ask to recount them; there are also those who think that he is willing to incite the American militarist right to mobilize, to take to the streets in war gear to do justice to the electoral fraud of the Democrats.
However, there are those who offer totally different forecasts. An American lawyer who lives in the corridors of power and who wants to remain anonymous argues that Trump has a very different plan. If he were to lose then in the period from November until December 21st he would resign. At that point Mike Pence, his deputy, would become president and grant him the famous pardon, the presidential pardon.
This is what Richard Nixon did who was never convicted in the impeachment trial. He resigned and his deputy, Gerald Ford, forgave him. Apparently the presidential pardon prevents any future cause, which means that Trump would leave the White House cleansed of all accusations, just as he did for Nixon.
If he wins, the president would have 4 years to pursue this strategy. He may not even wait for the end of his mandate as about 100 million real estate loans from his companies, currently run by his son, will accrue in 2021, money that Trump does not have.
Banks and financial companies are reluctant to renegotiate loans with family members of the president due to tight controls by the public administration, the Federal Reserve and especially the tax office. The situation would be different if Trump were no longer in office.
If this analysis is correct then Trump would prove that he is an old fox and that he capitalized on his 2016 electoral victory by getting rid of all the problems he had with the law when he was elected.
